Every Kalshi state page on this site eventually cites "the Third Circuit ruling from April 2026." This is the page about the case that produced it — and about the sequel New Jersey is now trying to force into existence at the Supreme Court.

March 2025: The Letter

New Jersey didn't wait around. The Division of Gaming Enforcement, under director Mary Jo Flaherty, sent Kalshi a cease-and-desist letter arguing its sports event contracts were unlicensed wagering under the state's Sports Wagering Act — the same law that governs FanDuel and DraftKings' New Jersey books. The letter raised two specific concerns: contracts tied to New Jersey collegiate teams, and the possibility of users under 21 trading them. Kalshi didn't comply and didn't wait for an enforcement action either — it sued Flaherty in federal court that same month.

April 2025 to April 2026: Two Losses for New Jersey

A federal district judge granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction in April 2025, keeping the state from enforcing its letter while the underlying case played out. New Jersey appealed. Thirteen months later, a divided Third Circuit panel — Judge David Porter writing, Chief Judge Michael Chagares joining, one judge dissenting — affirmed that injunction on April 6, 2026. The holding: sports event contracts are likely swaps under the Commodity Exchange Act, and federal law likely preempts New Jersey's gambling statute as applied to them. It was the first time any federal appeals court had ruled on the question at all.

"Likely to prevail" is a preliminary-injunction standard, not a final verdict. The Third Circuit ruled Kalshi is probably right, not that the case is over. New Jersey's underlying Sports Wagering Act claim against Kalshi hasn't been dismissed — it's paused behind an injunction the state is actively trying to get lifted.

Is Kalshi Legit in New Jersey?

New Jersey never argued Kalshi doesn't pay out or fails KYC checks — that fight is about licensing, not solvency. The state's actual objection is that a New Jersey resident trading a sports event contract should go through the same DGE-regulated, tax-paying pipeline as a licensed sportsbook bet. Two federal courts have now told New Jersey that federal law says otherwise, at least provisionally.

Summer 2026: New Jersey Goes Up, Not Away

Losing at the Third Circuit didn't end it. Solicitor General Jeremy Feigenbaum asked the Supreme Court for an extension to file a petition for certiorari, got one from Justice Alito running to August 4, 2026, and filed. If the Court grants review, Flaherty v. KalshiEX would be the first prediction-markets case to reach the justices — and its outcome would reach a lot further than New Jersey. Whether the Court takes it now, with only one circuit having ruled, or waits for the Sixth Circuit's pending Ohio-Tennessee split to sharpen the question, is genuinely unknown as of this writing.

Who Should Actually Read This Page

New Jersey residents deciding whether to open a Kalshi account, and anyone trying to understand why a "Kalshi is legal" claim on any other state page traces back to one lawsuit out of Trenton. It is not a page for sports betting one-click convenience — a licensed New Jersey sportsbook still exists as the state-sanctioned alternative, and Kalshi contracts can expire worthless regardless of who wins on appeal.