Six months is a long time for a “ban” to do nothing. On February 16, 2026, New Zealand’s Department of Internal Affairs told Polymarket, in writing, that its contracts are illegal gambling under New Zealand law. By August, New Zealanders were still funding Polymarket accounts and trading on whether the Prime Minister would survive the month — no VPN required. This page is about that gap, not just the ruling that was supposed to close it.
Is Polymarket Legal in New Zealand? What the DIA Actually Ruled
The DIA’s letter, sent the same day to both Polymarket and Kalshi, found that prediction-market contracts meet the definitions of “gambling” under the Gambling Act 2003 and “bookmaking” under the Racing Industry Act 2020. The regulator said a surge in global volume — transactions on the two platforms approaching US$40 billion in 2025 — pushed it to act, and pointed specifically to contracts like “Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?” as exactly the kind of product it meant. Neither company holds New Zealand approval to take a wager of any kind, so the DIA’s position leaves no gray area on paper: offering these contracts to a New Zealand resident is unlawful.
One letter, two responses. Kalshi deactivated New Zealand accounts within hours of the DIA’s February 16 letter. Polymarket spent months disputing the classification before adding New Zealand to its own restricted-jurisdiction terms in mid-July — a document change, not a network block.
The Luxon Market: Why This Stopped Being Just a Legal Story
The enforcement gap turned into news in August 2026, when a contract on Polymarket asked whether Christopher Luxon would be out as Prime Minister by September 30. After Luxon called an emergency caucus meeting amid leadership-challenge speculation, odds on “Yes” spiked to 86%. They dropped to 7% once he won a confidence vote. New Zealand account holders traded that swing directly — along with sports markets that sidestep TAB New Zealand’s statutory betting monopoly — on a platform their own regulator had already ruled illegal six months earlier. That’s the detail that makes “banned” the wrong word for what actually happened here.
Why Kalshi Blocked New Zealand in Hours and Polymarket Didn’t
Same regulator, same day, same statutes cited — and two opposite responses. Kalshi treated the DIA’s letter as final and cut New Zealand off immediately. Polymarket treated it as a position to negotiate: the company argues its contracts are financial instruments, not bets, an argument it and Kalshi are both making in separate US state fights too. New Zealand has no ISP-level blocklist to force the issue the way Australia’s ACMA or Chile’s courts can, so Polymarket’s decision not to block voluntarily is, in practice, the whole enforcement story.
What actually changed after February 16, 2026:
- Kalshi: New Zealand accounts deactivated within hours
- Polymarket: disputed the ruling for months
- Polymarket, mid-July 2026: added New Zealand to its own terms-of-use restricted list
- Polymarket, August 2026: still reachable from New Zealand without a VPN
Is Polymarket Legit, or Just Unwilling to Comply?
Those are two different questions and the DIA only answered one of them. Legitimacy as an exchange — does it settle markets correctly, does it hold funds, does it pay out — is separate from whether it holds a New Zealand gambling license, which it doesn’t and has never claimed to. Polymarket’s position is that a Gambling Act framework built for pokies and sportsbooks doesn’t obviously fit a contract on a Reserve Bank decision. The DIA disagrees, and the DIA is the one with statutory authority here. Disputing a ruling is not the same as being an illegitimate business, but it also doesn’t make the ruling optional.
Is It Safe to Use Polymarket From New Zealand Right Now?
Reachable is not the same as safe. Nothing about New Zealand’s DIA sits behind a Polymarket account here — no dispute process, no compensation scheme, nothing to escalate to if a market resolves in a way a trader thinks is wrong or funds get frozen. The DIA can fine Polymarket $50,000 per illegal bet taken from a New Zealand resident, but that fine is only collectable against a company willing to be found, and a decentralized platform with no New Zealand office or bank account isn’t one. DIA gambling director Vicki Scott has said enforcement is aimed at the platform, not at individual bettors — which means the practical risk sits less with a knock on the door and more with the ordinary risk of trading an unregulated contract that can go to zero. This is not a way to make money, and in New Zealand it is, on paper, not a legal one either.