Most prediction-market legal fights on this site have the platform playing defense. New Jersey is the exception on the other side too: it is the one state whose own cease-and-desist letter got knocked down by a federal appeals court, in the only appellate ruling on this question so far.

March 2025: The Letter That Started It

New Jersey’s Sports Wagering Act carries a quirk written into the state constitution’s own gambling carve-out: no wagering on college teams or college events physically held in New Jersey. With the NCAA tournament’s East Regional set for Newark in late March 2025, DGE Interim Director Mary Jo Flaherty sent cease-and-desist letters to Kalshi and Robinhood on March 27, arguing their March Madness event contracts amounted to unlicensed sports wagering. Robinhood pulled the contracts. Kalshi didn’t — it sued.

Polymarket was never named. The letter, and the lawsuit that followed, targeted Kalshi and Robinhood specifically. Polymarket rides on the outcome because the legal question — does CFTC designation preempt state gambling law — doesn’t turn on which company is asking.

Is Polymarket Legal in New Jersey?

On April 6, 2026, a divided Third Circuit panel affirmed a preliminary injunction against New Jersey, ruling 2-1 that sports event contracts on a CFTC-designated exchange are “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act — and that federal law preempts New Jersey from treating them as gambling. It was the first federal appeals court in the country to rule on the question, and it went against the state that filed first. Judge Jane Roth dissented, writing that the contracts are “virtually indistinguishable” from bets placed on a licensed New Jersey sportsbook — a preview of the argument New Jersey is now taking further.

Why New Jersey Is Racing to the Supreme Court

New Jersey didn’t stop at losing. On July 30, 2026, the Sixth Circuit ruled the opposite way in a similar Ohio dispute, handing New Jersey the one thing a certiorari petition needs most: an actual split between circuits. Justice Samuel Alito gave the state until August 4, 2026 — a shorter window than New Jersey asked for — to file, in a case now docketed Flaherty v. KalshiEX. Whether the Court agrees to hear it is unresolved; most analysts covering the filing expect the justices to let the circuit split develop further before stepping in, not to grant review immediately.

Is Polymarket Legit and Safe in New Jersey?

Legit: the strongest legal argument any prediction-market platform has made in court so far is the one that just won in New Jersey, and it wasn’t even Polymarket’s case. Safe: mechanically usable today, protected for now by an injunction the state is actively trying to get reversed. Neither word means New Jersey has approved Polymarket, or that this outcome is final — it means the state that tried hardest to shut prediction markets down is, for the moment, the one that lost.

What This Means If You’re in New Jersey

Right now: Polymarket US is reachable from New Jersey, and the state cannot enforce its original cease-and-desist theory while KalshiEX v. Flaherty is on appeal. That could change if the Supreme Court takes the case and reverses — or it could get more entrenched if the Court declines and the Third Circuit’s holding stands. Watch the cert docket, not the app working today. This isn’t a sportsbook account and it isn’t income — a contract can still expire worthless no matter which court wins. 21+ only, and if it stops feeling like a choice, 1-800-GAMBLER is free and confidential.