Most states on this list are still deciding whether prediction markets are legal by suing somebody. North Carolina skipped that step. Buried inside its 2026 budget bill is a provision that settles the question outright — not through a lawsuit, a cease-and-desist letter, or a court ruling, but through a tax rate.

The Other States Fight This. North Carolina Legislated It.

Illinois sent Polymarket a cease-and-desist letter in January 2026 and got geofenced out in response. Ohio fined Kalshi $5 million and is still waiting on a Sixth Circuit ruling. Georgia has a private lawsuit running under an 18th-century loss-recovery statute. North Carolina did none of that. Senate Bill 257, signed by Gov. Josh Stein on July 7, 2026 as part of the state budget, wrote directly into law that the Commodity Exchange Act gives the CFTC “exclusive federal regulatory authority” over prediction markets — the exact argument Kalshi has been making in federal court against other states, just adopted by North Carolina instead of litigated against it.

SB 257, in three numbers: 6% tax on operators’ net trading-fee revenue from North Carolina residents, effective January 1, 2027. Zero licensing or registration requirements. 23% — the newly raised tax rate licensed sportsbooks pay under the same budget, for comparison.

Is Polymarket Legal in North Carolina?

Yes, for the US rail — Polymarket US, run by QCX LLC. SB 257 treats CFTC-registered event-contract platforms as lawfully operating in the state without a gambling license, because the statute concedes the state has no jurisdiction to license them in the first place. That is not a loophole or a gap nobody has noticed yet; it is the deliberate design of the law. The international polymarket.com site is unaffected by any of this — it remains geo-blocked for every US IP address, North Carolina included, under the 2022 CFTC settlement that has nothing to do with state law.

Why 6%, and Why No License?

The budget raised North Carolina’s sports-betting tax from 18% to 23% of gross wagering revenue for its licensed sportsbooks — DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and the rest, regulated by the State Lottery Commission under House Bill 347 since 2024. Prediction markets got a separate, much smaller line: 6% of net trading fees, not gross wagers, starting January 1, 2027, collected by the Department of Revenue rather than a gaming board. The statute says outright that paying the tax creates no licensing or registration obligation. Lawmakers treated a CFTC-designated exchange and a state-licensed sportsbook as two different categories of business, and taxed them accordingly.

Is Polymarket Legit and Safe in North Carolina?

Legit: North Carolina’s own legislature concluded Polymarket US operates under genuine federal oversight rather than as an unlicensed gray-market product — that premise is the entire basis for taxing it instead of banning it. Safe: CFTC registration and KYC apply, but the consumer protections built into North Carolina’s sportsbook law — deposit limits, self-exclusion, problem-gambling funding from the 23% tax — do not extend to prediction markets under SB 257. A contract can still expire worthless regardless of which agency is watching.

What This Means If You’re in North Carolina

Right now: Polymarket US works from a North Carolina IP with clearer legal footing than almost anywhere else on this list, and that won’t change on January 1, 2027 — it just means the 6% tax starts applying to what operators already owe. Nothing here is a signal to bet more or treat this as income; a prediction-market contract is still a position you can lose in full, tax status aside. 21+ only, and if it stops feeling like a choice, 1-800-GAMBLER is free and confidential.